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S&P 500 Annual Returns: 1928-2023

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Retirees' own spending is apt to be variable over the life cycle

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Assumptions: Fixed real withdrawal system, 90% success rate

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Highest and Lowest Starting Safe Withdrawal Rates, by Asset Allocation

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Morningstar's 30-year asset-class return assumptions improved following 2022

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Actual vs. Reversed historical return sequence (1973-1993)

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U.S. Market Downturns, Recoveries, and Expansions since 1926

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US Small Cap indices annual return (%) since 2002

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Average annualized outperformance of companies before and after the first year they became one of the 10 largest in US

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Years with inflation above the returns of both stocks and bonds

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